Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -455 RID +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +11 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -10.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -9.6 (+1.4) | 144.8 (+16.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -8.6 (+2.4) | 148.0 (+13.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -9.8 (+1.2) | 145.5 (+15.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -9.2 (+1.8) | 146.6 (+14.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | SHU 105 – 85 RID |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SHU 89 – 77 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 4-25 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-13 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#295) | -16.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#279) | -3.14 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#272) | -4.05 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#245) | 0.403 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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