Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -225 RID +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +12 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -6.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -3.8 (+8.2) | 143.7 (+22.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SHU -4.5 (+7.5) | 142.3 (+23.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SHU -3.9 (+8.1) | 141.6 (+24.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.9 (+8.1) | 143.3 (+22.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SHU 86 – 75 RID |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SHU 105 – 85 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#270) | -9.7 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#272) | -1.44 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#269) | -1.98 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#255) | 0.429 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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