You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Sacred Heart Pioneers
89 – 77
FINAL Conference
Rider Broncs
Metro Conference · William H. Pitt Center · February 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SHU -5.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money SHU -225 / RID +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHU win
Actual SHU +12 166 Won
Massey SHU -6.2 (+5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 146.1 (+19.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHU -3.9 (+8.1) 141.6 (+24.4) 67% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHU -4.5 (+7.5) 142.3 (+23.7) 63% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHU -3.8 (+8.2) 143.7 (+22.3) 62% ✓
Baseline ML SHU -3.9 (+8.1) 143.3 (+22.7) 63% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 SHU 86 – 75 RID
Jan 19, 2026 SHU 105 – 85 RID

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHU RID
Overall 15-18 14-19
Conference 10-10 9-11
Home 8-5 5-7
Away 5-11 8-11
Neutral 2-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.1 67.0
Avg Pts Against 75.7 71.8
Massey -6.6 (#270) -9.7 (#318)
Bradley-Terry -1.16 (#272) -1.44 (#298)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.38 (#269) -1.98 (#308)
RPI 0.457 (#255) 0.429 (#301)
Shooting & Four Factors SHU RID
FG% 43.7% 41.7%
3PT% 36.5% 29.6%
REB / G 36.1 34.5
OREB / G 11.1 11.6
AST / TO 1.21 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 46.2%
TOV% 18.2% 18.1%
ORB% 30.6% 33.0%
FT Rate 19.8% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.4%
DRB% 71.6% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 18.1%

Game Analysis

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