Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | BING +180 UMBC -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +18 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UMBC -7.2 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -7.0 (-11.0) | 138.2 (-0.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -7.8 (-10.2) | 138.2 (-0.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -7.4 (-10.6) | 135.9 (+2.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -6.6 (-11.4) | 138.5 (-0.5) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UMBC 79 – 62 BING |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UMBC 81 – 77 BING |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BING 87 – 82 UMBC |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BING 72 – 71 UMBC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | UMBC 89 – 78 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 14-2 |
| Home | 7-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -18.2 (#360) | -7.6 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.96 (#362) | -1.48 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.91 (#362) | -2.04 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.304 (#365) | 0.423 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.