Betting Lines
| Spread | BING -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | BING -200 UMBC +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +11 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | BING -4.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BING -4.4 (-15.4) | 155.6 (+11.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BING -3.6 (-14.6) | 152.5 (+14.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BING -4.6 (-15.6) | 152.6 (+14.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BING -4.6 (-15.6) | 152.7 (+14.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UMBC 79 – 62 BING |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UMBC 78 – 60 BING |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UMBC 81 – 77 BING |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BING 87 – 82 UMBC |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BING 72 – 71 UMBC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#283) | -8.4 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#253) | -2.24 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#274) | -2.52 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#229) | 0.377 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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