Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UMBC -154 BING +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMBC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UMBC -3.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -2.0 (-3.0) | 155.8 (-12.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -1.4 (-2.4) | 151.5 (-8.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -2.1 (-3.1) | 153.9 (-10.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -2.8 (-3.8) | 154.9 (-11.9) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UMBC 79 – 62 BING |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UMBC 78 – 60 BING |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UMBC 81 – 77 BING |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BING 87 – 82 UMBC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | UMBC 89 – 78 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMBC | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#273) | -6.2 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#309) | -0.71 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#299) | -1.11 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#324) | 0.477 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMBC | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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