Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -125 UNT +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -0.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -1.7 (-9.7) | 131.3 (+2.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -0.1 (-8.1) | 132.5 (+1.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -1.7 (-9.7) | 131.9 (+2.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -1.3 (-9.3) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TULN 77 – 71 UNT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNT 76 – 66 TULN |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UNT 81 – 71 TULN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UNT 80 – 76 TULN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNT 70 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#214) | 0.5 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#126) | 0.15 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#166) | 0.14 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#125) | 0.498 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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