North Texas
Mean Green
81
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
American Athletic Conference
Tulane
Green Wave
Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -250 TULN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -4.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -5.8 (+4.2) | 143.8 (+8.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.3 (+5.7) | 141.8 (+10.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -4.4 (+5.6) | 143.3 (+8.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -4.6 (+5.4) | 145.1 (+6.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TULN 77 – 71 UNT |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UNT 71 – 63 TULN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNT 76 – 66 TULN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UNT 80 – 76 TULN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNT 70 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#79) | 3.0 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#121) | 0.01 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#103) | 0.18 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#131) | 0.479 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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