Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UNCW -290 CAM +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -8.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -9.3 (-6.3) | 144.4 (+8.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -7.8 (-4.8) | 144.0 (+9.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -7.7 (-4.7) | 143.5 (+9.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -8.3 (-5.3) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CAM 85 – 70 UNCW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNCW 73 – 68 CAM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 60 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 69 CAM |
| Feb 27, 2024 | CAM 105 – 100 UNCW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 12-2 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#124) | -2.3 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#82) | 0.26 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#88) | 0.34 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#84) | 0.523 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 33.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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