Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CAM +130 UNCW -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCW -3.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -4.0 (-1.0) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -1.8 (-3.2) | 144.3 (-3.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -2.8 (-2.2) | 145.5 (-4.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -3.7 (-1.3) | 144.8 (-3.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CAM 85 – 70 UNCW |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UNCW 78 – 75 CAM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 60 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 69 CAM |
| Feb 27, 2024 | CAM 105 – 100 UNCW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 15-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#206) | 3.9 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#176) | 1.35 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#184) | 1.48 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#178) | 0.569 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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