Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CAM +310 UNCW -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +5 | 205 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -9.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+61.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -9.2 (+14.2) | 144.4 (+60.6) | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -8.5 (+13.5) | 142.5 (+62.5) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -8.5 (+13.5) | 143.4 (+61.6) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -8.7 (+13.7) | 146.3 (+58.7) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CAM 85 – 70 UNCW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNCW 73 – 68 CAM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UNCW 78 – 75 CAM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 60 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 69 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#301) | 4.5 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#306) | 1.11 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#308) | 1.39 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#317) | 0.555 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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