Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UNCW -800 CAM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -10.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -9.8 (-1.8) | 141.7 (+4.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -7.8 (+0.2) | 141.7 (+4.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -7.6 (+0.4) | 143.0 (+3.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -9.0 (-1.0) | 142.4 (+3.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CAM 85 – 70 UNCW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNCW 73 – 68 CAM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UNCW 78 – 75 CAM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 60 CAM |
| Feb 27, 2024 | CAM 105 – 100 UNCW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-4 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#171) | -6.9 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#185) | -1.87 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#191) | -1.94 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#196) | 0.399 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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