Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | IU -170 IOWA +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +17 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -2.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -3.2 (-20.2) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -1.7 (-18.7) | 141.0 (-10.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -1.5 (-18.5) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -1.8 (-18.8) | 140.9 (-9.9) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2025 | IOWA 85 – 60 IU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | IU 74 – 68 IOWA |
| Mar 1, 2023 | IOWA 90 – 68 IU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | IOWA 91 – 89 IU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | IOWA 80 – 77 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#31) | 17.3 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#61) | 2.09 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#62) | 3.04 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#68) | 0.578 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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