Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -6.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -5.4 (-2.4) | 148.4 (+8.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -5.8 (-2.8) | 147.8 (+9.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -4.7 (-1.7) | 147.8 (+9.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -4.7 (-1.7) | 147.9 (+9.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | IOWA 74 – 57 IU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | IOWA 85 – 60 IU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | IU 74 – 68 IOWA |
| Mar 1, 2023 | IOWA 90 – 68 IU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | IOWA 91 – 89 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#13) | 11.2 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#30) | 1.86 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#21) | 2.30 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#33) | 0.550 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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