Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | DEL +180 NMSU -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +29 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | NMSU -6.1 (-22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -6.8 (-22.2) | 134.1 (+30.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -6.0 (-23.0) | 132.1 (+32.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -5.6 (-23.4) | 133.5 (+31.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -6.4 (-22.6) | 134.0 (+31.0) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DEL 73 – 64 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#273) | 2.4 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#310) | 0.13 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#274) | 0.36 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#326) | 0.518 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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