Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -950 DEL +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | NMSU -13.9 (-22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -11.7 (-20.7) | 134.8 (+2.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -10.5 (-19.5) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -10.7 (-19.7) | 136.5 (+0.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -11.6 (-20.6) | 135.6 (+1.4) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | NMSU 97 – 68 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#134) | -8.5 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#204) | -1.87 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#167) | -1.85 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#177) | 0.411 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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