Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -1350 UTEP +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -15.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.0 (-1.0) | 135.7 (+13.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -12.5 (-1.5) | 135.9 (+13.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -12.5 (-1.5) | 136.7 (+12.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.9 (-0.9) | 135.7 (+13.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LIB 73 – 64 UTEP |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LIB 81 – 60 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | LIB 76 – 69 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTEP 72 – 70 LIB |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTEP 66 – 57 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#103) | -6.3 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#62) | -1.31 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#73) | -1.53 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#38) | 0.449 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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