Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB +320 UCSD -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +21 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -10.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -9.7 (-11.3) | 144.8 (+0.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -9.3 (-11.7) | 144.5 (+0.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -8.6 (-12.4) | 144.5 (+0.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -9.4 (-11.6) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCSD 84 – 72 CSUB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCSD 73 – 54 CSUB |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCSD 81 – 60 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUB 70 – 57 UCSD |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCSD 76 – 64 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#305) | 4.5 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#259) | 0.82 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#280) | 1.19 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#323) | 0.541 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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