Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB +1000 UCSD -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +19 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -13.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -12.6 (-6.4) | 141.8 (-14.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -11.0 (-8.0) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -12.7 (-6.3) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -12.1 (-6.9) | 144.0 (-17.0) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCSD 84 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 62 CSUB |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCSD 81 – 60 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUB 70 – 57 UCSD |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCSD 76 – 64 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#247) | 11.8 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#245) | 2.20 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#234) | 2.28 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#280) | 0.574 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.