Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB +230 UCSD -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -5.9 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -3.6 (+16.6) | 138.9 (-11.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -5.3 (+18.3) | 140.7 (-13.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -4.7 (+17.7) | 142.3 (-15.3) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -5.3 (+18.3) | 141.5 (-14.5) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCSD 84 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 62 CSUB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCSD 73 – 54 CSUB |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCSD 81 – 60 CSUB |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCSD 76 – 64 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#256) | 4.7 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#272) | 0.60 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#270) | 0.77 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#300) | 0.529 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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