Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -1650 RUTG +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +9 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -16.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -13.5 (-4.5) | 149.6 (+33.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -13.5 (-4.5) | 150.9 (+32.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -13.1 (-4.1) | 147.6 (+35.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -13.5 (-4.5) | 148.2 (+34.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2025 | WIS 75 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WIS 78 – 66 RUTG |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RUTG 78 – 56 WIS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | RUTG 58 – 57 WIS |
| Feb 26, 2022 | WIS 66 – 61 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#46) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#32) | 0.48 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#32) | 0.30 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#37) | 0.511 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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