Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG +125 WIS -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -5.3 (+27.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -4.0 (+26.0) | 132.8 (+1.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.7 (+24.7) | 130.1 (+3.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.6 (+24.6) | 130.5 (+3.5) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.8 (+24.8) | 130.9 (+3.1) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | WIS 96 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 7, 2025 | WIS 75 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WIS 78 – 66 RUTG |
| Feb 18, 2023 | RUTG 58 – 57 WIS |
| Feb 26, 2022 | WIS 66 – 61 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#95) | 14.4 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#87) | 2.29 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#87) | 3.00 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#113) | 0.619 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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