Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · January 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -1.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money RUTG +100 / WIS -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual WIS +12 138 Lost
Massey WIS -4.2 (-7.8) — —
Massey Totals — 163.5 (-25.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 15% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIS -3.6 (-8.4) 156.9 (-18.9) 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIS -3.6 (-8.4) 155.2 (-17.2) 31% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -3.4 (-8.6) 157.1 (-19.1) 33% ✓
Baseline ML WIS -2.7 (-9.3) 156.8 (-18.8) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 WIS 96 – 87 RUTG
Mar 8, 2024 WIS 78 – 66 RUTG
Feb 10, 2024 RUTG 78 – 56 WIS
Feb 18, 2023 RUTG 58 – 57 WIS
Feb 26, 2022 WIS 66 – 61 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG WIS
Overall 15-17 27-10
Conference 8-12 13-7
Home 11-5 14-3
Away 3-8 6-5
Neutral 1-4 7-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.0 80.1
Avg Pts Against 77.6 70.9
Massey 6.5 (#81) 14.8 (#26)
Bradley-Terry 0.96 (#96) 2.89 (#24)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.56 (#81) 4.18 (#17)
RPI 0.561 (#76) 0.633 (#22)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG WIS
FG% 46.2% 46.3%
3PT% 33.2% 35.3%
REB / G 36.9 36.2
OREB / G 10.5 9.9
AST / TO 1.29 1.60
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 54.4%
TOV% 14.9% 14.1%
ORB% 29.4% 29.8%
FT Rate 27.3% 31.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 15.2%
DRB% 69.3% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 22.9%

Game Analysis

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