Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Big Ten Conference · Kohl Center · February 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -1.5 Home covered
O/U 124.5 Under
Money WIS -111 / RUTG -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual RUTG +1 115 Lost
Massey RUTG -2.6 (+1.6) — —
Massey Totals — 118.2 (-3.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -0.5 (-0.5) 127.7 (-12.7) 47% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -0.8 (-0.2) 123.9 (-8.9) 45% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -0.6 (-0.4) 122.6 (-7.6) 49% ✓
Baseline ML RUTG -0.6 (-0.4) 124.8 (-9.8) 53% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 WIS 96 – 87 RUTG
Jan 7, 2025 WIS 75 – 63 RUTG
Mar 8, 2024 WIS 78 – 66 RUTG
Feb 10, 2024 RUTG 78 – 56 WIS
Feb 26, 2022 WIS 66 – 61 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS RUTG
Overall 20-15 19-15
Conference 9-11 10-10
Home 11-6 14-6
Away 6-6 4-7
Neutral 3-3 1-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 65.3 68.4
Avg Pts Against 63.6 61.1
Massey 7.4 (#76) 13.7 (#17)
Bradley-Terry 1.80 (#47) 1.51 (#60)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.19 (#49) 1.96 (#56)
RPI 0.558 (#74) 0.551 (#89)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS RUTG
FG% 41.4% 43.4%
3PT% 36.1% 32.1%
REB / G 31.1 37.8
OREB / G 7.5 11.9
AST / TO 1.35 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 48.3%
TOV% 13.5% 17.4%
ORB% 21.2% 32.8%
FT Rate 16.0% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 45.2%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 22.7%
DRB% 74.9% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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