I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Big Ten Conference · Kohl Center · February 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -1.5 Home covered
O/U 124.5 Under
Money WIS -111 / RUTG -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual RUTG +1 115 Lost
Massey RUTG -2.6 (+1.6)
Massey Totals 118.2 (-3.2)
Bradley-Terry 72%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -0.8 (-0.2) 123.9 (-8.9) 45%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -0.6 (-0.4) 122.6 (-7.6) 49%
Baseline ML RUTG -0.6 (-0.4) 124.8 (-9.8) 53%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -0.5 (-0.5) 127.7 (-12.7) 47%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 WIS 9687 RUTG
Jan 7, 2025 WIS 7563 RUTG
Mar 8, 2024 WIS 7866 RUTG
Feb 10, 2024 RUTG 7856 WIS
Feb 26, 2022 WIS 6661 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS RUTG
Overall 20-15 19-15
Conference 9-11 10-10
Home 11-6 14-6
Away 6-6 4-7
Neutral 3-3 1-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 65.3 68.4
Avg Pts Against 63.6 61.1
Massey 7.4 (#76) 13.7 (#17)
Bradley-Terry 1.80 (#47) 1.51 (#60)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.19 (#49) 1.96 (#56)
RPI 0.558 (#74) 0.551 (#89)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS RUTG
FG% 41.4% 43.4%
3PT% 36.1% 32.1%
REB / G 31.1 37.8
OREB / G 7.5 11.9
AST / TO 1.35 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 48.3%
TOV% 13.5% 17.4%
ORB% 21.2% 32.8%
FT Rate 16.0% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 45.2%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 22.7%
DRB% 74.9% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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