Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -238 ELON +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +4 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -8.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -8.4 (-12.4) | 148.0 (+26.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -6.1 (-10.1) | 147.6 (+26.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -8.1 (-12.1) | 147.9 (+26.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -7.7 (-11.7) | 148.9 (+25.1) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2025 | HOF 74 – 63 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HOF 87 – 64 ELON |
| Jan 27, 2023 | HOF 82 – 65 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2022 | ELON 81 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 16, 2022 | HOF 97 – 64 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 9-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#104) | 0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#80) | 0.09 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#91) | -0.04 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#36) | 0.516 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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