Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -155 HOF +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +11 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -5.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -2.6 (-13.6) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -4.1 (-15.1) | 132.2 (+4.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -3.9 (-14.9) | 131.4 (+5.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -4.8 (-15.8) | 132.0 (+5.0) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ELON 89 – 85 HOF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HOF 87 – 64 ELON |
| Jan 27, 2023 | HOF 82 – 65 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2022 | ELON 81 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 16, 2022 | HOF 97 – 64 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#139) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#157) | -0.01 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#149) | -0.06 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#148) | 0.520 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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