Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +33 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -7.0 (-26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -6.1 (-26.9) | 144.5 (+16.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.7 (-27.3) | 145.6 (+15.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -6.0 (-27.0) | 145.9 (+15.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -6.6 (-26.4) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ELON 89 – 85 HOF |
| Jan 31, 2025 | HOF 74 – 63 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HOF 87 – 64 ELON |
| Jan 27, 2023 | HOF 82 – 65 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2022 | ELON 81 – 55 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#270) | 4.0 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#253) | 1.15 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#251) | 1.29 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#241) | 0.584 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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