What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Elon Phoenix
64 – 97
FINAL Conference
Hofstra Pride
Coastal Athletic Association · Schar Center · February 16, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread HOF -6.0 Away covered
O/U 143.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total ELON win
Actual HOF +33 161 Lost
Massey HOF -7.0 (-26.0) — —
Massey Totals — 145.6 (+15.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 17% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 14% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HOF -6.6 (-26.4) 145.4 (+15.6) 26% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HOF -6.1 (-26.9) 144.5 (+16.5) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HOF -5.7 (-27.3) 145.6 (+15.4) 26% ✓
Baseline ML HOF -6.0 (-27.0) 145.9 (+15.1) 28% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 ELON 89 – 85 HOF
Jan 31, 2025 HOF 74 – 63 ELON
Feb 25, 2024 HOF 87 – 64 ELON
Jan 27, 2023 HOF 82 – 65 ELON
Feb 25, 2022 ELON 81 – 55 HOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ELON HOF
Overall 10-22 21-11
Conference 7-11 13-5
Home 7-7 12-2
Away 3-11 8-8
Neutral 0-4 1-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.0 76.8
Avg Pts Against 72.6 74.4
Massey -6.0 (#270) 4.0 (#110)
Bradley-Terry -0.93 (#253) 1.15 (#89)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.09 (#251) 1.29 (#96)
RPI 0.464 (#241) 0.584 (#48)
Shooting & Four Factors ELON HOF
FG% 42.1% 46.4%
3PT% 33.9% 33.6%
REB / G 31.2 33.4
OREB / G 8.1 8.2
AST / TO 0.89 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 53.6%
TOV% 20.4% 15.3%
ORB% 23.8% 24.0%
FT Rate 18.4% 16.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 19.4%
DRB% 69.7% 74.2%
Opp FT Rate 34.2% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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