Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -1200 ELON +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +23 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -14.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -13.4 (+9.6) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -14.9 (+8.1) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -13.7 (+9.3) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -13.0 (+10.0) | 140.9 (+10.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ELON 89 – 85 HOF |
| Jan 31, 2025 | HOF 74 – 63 ELON |
| Jan 27, 2023 | HOF 82 – 65 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2022 | ELON 81 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 16, 2022 | HOF 97 – 64 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#129) | -8.4 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#134) | -1.15 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#128) | -1.61 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#110) | 0.447 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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