Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | ELON +450 HOF -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +17 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -10.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -11.9 (-5.1) | 137.6 (+9.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -11.4 (-5.6) | 140.0 (+7.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -12.2 (-4.8) | 137.7 (+9.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -11.7 (-5.3) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ELON 89 – 85 HOF |
| Jan 31, 2025 | HOF 74 – 63 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HOF 87 – 64 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2022 | ELON 81 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 16, 2022 | HOF 97 – 64 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#337) | 3.6 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.47 (#362) | 0.94 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.54 (#362) | 1.21 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.358 (#356) | 0.576 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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