Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UMES -535 COPP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -17.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -13.0 (-10.0) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -12.9 (-9.9) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -12.7 (-9.7) | 134.3 (+2.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -14.0 (-11.0) | 135.2 (+1.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COPP 71 – 65 UMES |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UMES 72 – 59 COPP |
| Feb 4, 2025 | COPP 62 – 57 UMES |
| Feb 20, 2024 | UMES 75 – 67 COPP |
| Jan 9, 2024 | COPP 58 – 55 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 2-18 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#316) | -24.6 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#314) | -3.45 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#323) | -4.80 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#270) | 0.362 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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