Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +145 MSU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +17 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MSU -3.9 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -3.1 (-13.9) | 138.4 (+4.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -2.8 (-14.2) | 135.9 (+7.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -2.2 (-14.8) | 136.5 (+6.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -2.5 (-14.5) | 138.3 (+4.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2025 | MSU 88 – 54 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#47) | 19.5 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#68) | 3.99 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#61) | 5.50 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#71) | 0.668 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 42.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 40.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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