Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BALL +190 OHIO -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -3.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -4.6 (+9.6) | 143.1 (+3.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -3.2 (+8.2) | 143.7 (+3.3) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -5.3 (+10.3) | 141.2 (+5.8) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -5.9 (+10.9) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OHIO 69 – 57 BALL |
| Jan 15, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 71 BALL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 79 BALL |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OHIO 90 – 70 BALL |
| Jan 11, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 71 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#308) | -2.5 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#344) | 0.22 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.28 (#343) | 0.12 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#349) | 0.528 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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