Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -550 BALL +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +15 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -7.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -6.6 (+8.4) | 151.6 (+5.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -7.5 (+7.5) | 150.7 (+6.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -6.5 (+8.5) | 149.1 (+7.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -6.6 (+8.4) | 149.6 (+7.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OHIO 69 – 57 BALL |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BALL 76 – 71 OHIO |
| Feb 7, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 79 BALL |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OHIO 90 – 70 BALL |
| Jan 11, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 71 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#152) | -3.4 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#168) | -1.23 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#182) | -1.74 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#168) | 0.433 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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