Betting Lines
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | BALL -120 OHIO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +20 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -1.1 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -2.1 (-17.9) | 150.2 (+9.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -1.7 (-18.3) | 147.7 (+12.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -1.8 (-18.2) | 149.6 (+10.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -2.0 (-18.0) | 150.6 (+9.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OHIO 69 – 57 BALL |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BALL 76 – 71 OHIO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 71 BALL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 79 BALL |
| Jan 11, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 71 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#149) | 2.0 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#152) | 0.05 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#156) | 0.01 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#159) | 0.511 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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