Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -110 BALL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -1.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -1.9 (+3.1) | 146.9 (+0.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -1.4 (+3.6) | 148.1 (-1.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -0.9 (+4.1) | 149.0 (-2.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -1.0 (+4.0) | 147.5 (-0.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OHIO 69 – 57 BALL |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BALL 76 – 71 OHIO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 71 BALL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 79 BALL |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OHIO 90 – 70 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#148) | 3.8 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#171) | 0.93 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#157) | 1.21 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#186) | 0.548 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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