Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -575 BALL +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -9.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -8.2 (+3.8) | 138.4 (-12.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -8.3 (+3.7) | 138.1 (-12.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -8.6 (+3.4) | 137.4 (-11.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -8.6 (+3.4) | 141.5 (-15.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | BALL 76 – 71 OHIO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 71 BALL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 79 BALL |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OHIO 90 – 70 BALL |
| Jan 11, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 71 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#218) | -10.0 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#195) | -1.82 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#191) | -2.42 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.411 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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