Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SCST +225 NORF -278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -8.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -6.4 (-0.6) | 135.2 (+35.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -6.1 (-0.9) | 134.6 (+36.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -6.6 (-0.4) | 136.0 (+35.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -6.5 (-0.5) | 132.5 (+38.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NORF 67 – 65 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-16 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -20.0 (#362) | -8.6 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#349) | -1.97 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.41 (#357) | -2.84 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#352) | 0.403 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.5% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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