Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -600 SCST +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +19 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -12.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -9.6 (+9.4) | 137.2 (+23.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -9.8 (+9.2) | 138.1 (+22.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -9.7 (+9.3) | 139.2 (+21.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -9.2 (+9.8) | 138.4 (+22.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NORF 67 – 65 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#305) | -19.1 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#321) | -2.70 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#323) | -3.65 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#314) | 0.388 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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