Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -380 SCST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -8.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -7.5 (-13.5) | 142.2 (+27.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -5.5 (-11.5) | 139.8 (+30.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -7.1 (-13.1) | 141.1 (+28.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -7.5 (-13.5) | 139.9 (+30.1) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NORF 67 – 65 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#311) | -18.7 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#325) | -2.66 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#328) | -3.58 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#292) | 0.413 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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