Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -380 SCST +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -8.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -7.2 (-5.2) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.5 (-5.5) | 142.5 (-10.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -8.3 (-6.3) | 144.2 (-12.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -7.7 (-5.7) | 145.0 (-13.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#150) | -4.2 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#158) | -1.39 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#166) | -1.53 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#156) | 0.428 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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