Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SCST -145 NORF +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +3 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -1.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -0.9 (+2.1) | 146.6 (+32.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -1.3 (+1.7) | 149.4 (+29.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -1.4 (+1.6) | 146.7 (+32.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -1.7 (+1.3) | 148.7 (+30.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NORF 67 – 65 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#191) | -0.2 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#250) | 0.40 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#241) | 0.19 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#222) | 0.542 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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