Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -120 SCST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -0.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -0.2 (+0.8) | 143.7 (-12.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -1.0 (+0.0) | 143.4 (-12.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -0.1 (+0.9) | 143.5 (-12.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -0.1 (+0.9) | 144.5 (-13.5) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NORF 67 – 65 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#174) | -1.7 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#160) | -0.60 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#169) | -0.76 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#86) | 0.494 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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