Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -1000 SC +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -11.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -11.0 (-7.0) | 150.3 (-12.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -10.9 (-6.9) | 152.1 (-14.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -10.9 (-6.9) | 153.0 (-15.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -12.7 (-8.7) | 153.1 (-15.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2025 | AUB 66 – 63 SC |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AUB 86 – 55 SC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | AUB 101 – 61 SC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | AUB 81 – 66 SC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | AUB 82 – 71 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#34) | 6.8 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#45) | 0.48 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#35) | 1.19 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#32) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 39.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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