Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AUB -800 SC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +40 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -12.7 (+27.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -12.2 (+27.8) | 140.8 (+21.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -10.2 (+29.8) | 138.8 (+23.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -10.2 (+29.8) | 140.1 (+21.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -10.8 (+29.2) | 139.8 (+22.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | AUB 71 – 67 SC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AUB 66 – 63 SC |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AUB 86 – 55 SC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | AUB 81 – 66 SC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | AUB 82 – 71 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#8) | 9.5 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#14) | 3.16 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#8) | 3.64 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#12) | 0.604 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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