Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -15.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -13.7 (-2.7) | 148.5 (+4.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -13.0 (-2.0) | 148.9 (+4.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -13.0 (-2.0) | 149.9 (+3.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -13.6 (-2.6) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | AUB 71 – 67 SC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AUB 66 – 63 SC |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AUB 86 – 55 SC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | AUB 101 – 61 SC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | AUB 81 – 66 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#7) | 6.0 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#5) | 1.61 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.33 (#4) | 1.64 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#2) | 0.564 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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