Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SC +1300 AUB -4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -18.6 (+15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -12.3 (+9.3) | 145.9 (-16.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -12.8 (+9.8) | 146.9 (-17.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -16.1 (+13.1) | 148.1 (-19.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -14.7 (+11.7) | 145.5 (-16.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | AUB 71 – 67 SC |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AUB 86 – 55 SC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | AUB 101 – 61 SC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | AUB 81 – 66 SC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | AUB 82 – 71 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 11-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#94) | 27.6 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#80) | 4.92 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#78) | 6.40 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#78) | 0.714 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 2.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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