Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -350 SC +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +31 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -9.9 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -10.7 (+20.3) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -9.5 (+21.5) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -9.3 (+21.7) | 145.8 (-4.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -9.8 (+21.2) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | AUB 71 – 67 SC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AUB 66 – 63 SC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | AUB 101 – 61 SC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | AUB 81 – 66 SC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | AUB 82 – 71 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 19.7 (#5) | 9.8 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#11) | 2.83 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#8) | 3.42 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#12) | 0.584 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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