Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -218 DRKE +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -3.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -2.7 (+4.3) | 138.2 (+2.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -2.7 (+4.3) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -2.8 (+4.2) | 138.4 (+2.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -2.8 (+4.2) | 139.7 (+1.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UIC 72 – 51 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UIC 80 – 70 DRKE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DRKE 74 – 57 UIC |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UIC 74 – 70 DRKE |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DRKE 107 – 105 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#156) | 0.3 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#225) | -0.49 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#206) | -0.48 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#219) | 0.484 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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