Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -110 UIC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -0.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -0.2 (-10.2) | 146.1 (+3.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -1.7 (-11.7) | 144.4 (+5.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -0.3 (-10.3) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -0.0 (-10.0) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UIC 72 – 51 DRKE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIC 74 – 67 DRKE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DRKE 74 – 57 UIC |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UIC 74 – 70 DRKE |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DRKE 107 – 105 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#170) | 2.1 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#217) | -0.04 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#207) | 0.09 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#228) | 0.502 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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