Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -700 UIC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -9.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -10.1 (+6.9) | 133.5 (-2.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -11.5 (+5.5) | 130.3 (+0.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -9.3 (+7.7) | 136.1 (-5.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -9.5 (+7.5) | 136.2 (-5.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UIC 72 – 51 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UIC 80 – 70 DRKE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIC 74 – 67 DRKE |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UIC 74 – 70 DRKE |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DRKE 107 – 105 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#77) | 1.4 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#35) | 0.45 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#43) | 0.54 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#38) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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