Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +310 DRKE -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +2 | 212 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -8.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+66.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -7.5 (+5.5) | 148.9 (+63.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -8.7 (+6.7) | 146.2 (+65.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -7.7 (+5.7) | 147.1 (+64.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -7.1 (+5.1) | 149.4 (+62.6) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UIC 72 – 51 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UIC 80 – 70 DRKE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIC 74 – 67 DRKE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DRKE 74 – 57 UIC |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UIC 74 – 70 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 16-4 |
| Home | 6-9 | 16-0 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#178) | 10.2 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#234) | 1.93 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#195) | 2.28 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#257) | 0.612 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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