We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
UIC Flames
105 107 3OT
FINAL Conference
Drake Bulldogs
Missouri Valley Conference · Credit Union 1 Arena · February 29, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread DRKE -8.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money UIC +310 / DRKE -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total UIC win
Actual DRKE +2 212 Lost
Massey DRKE -8.0 (+6.0)
Massey Totals 145.2 (+66.8)
Bradley-Terry 13%
Weighted B-T 13%
Efficiency Plus ML DRKE -8.7 (+6.7) 146.2 (+65.8) 22%
Baseline Tuned ML DRKE -7.7 (+5.7) 147.1 (+64.9) 23%
Baseline ML DRKE -7.1 (+5.1) 149.4 (+62.6) 23%
Baseline Plus ML DRKE -7.5 (+5.5) 148.9 (+63.1) 24%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 UIC 7251 DRKE
Feb 13, 2026 UIC 8070 DRKE
Jan 17, 2026 UIC 7467 DRKE
Feb 20, 2025 DRKE 7457 UIC
Jan 1, 2025 UIC 7470 DRKE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UIC DRKE
Overall 12-21 28-7
Conference 4-16 16-4
Home 6-9 16-0
Away 3-10 6-5
Neutral 3-2 6-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 79.7
Avg Pts Against 72.3 70.5
Massey -1.1 (#178) 10.2 (#50)
Bradley-Terry -0.56 (#234) 1.93 (#44)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#195) 2.28 (#45)
RPI 0.465 (#257) 0.612 (#14)
Shooting & Four Factors UIC DRKE
FG% 44.1% 48.5%
3PT% 36.6% 36.0%
REB / G 32.6 34.4
OREB / G 8.0 7.9
AST / TO 1.07 1.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 55.7%
TOV% 18.3% 14.0%
ORB% 23.4% 24.4%
FT Rate 16.8% 23.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 17.7%
DRB% 72.0% 76.8%
Opp FT Rate 27.7% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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